Market update

US tsys opening slightly lower, lagging the sizeable rally in Euro govt bonds on weaker data, month end extensions. US 10Y 2.273 (+0.4bps), curve unch. Tsy futures volume way below avg, TY1 traded in a 5 tick range o/n. Core Euro bonds higher, led by 10Y gilts. Weaker than exp China & Euro PMIs with the former falling to a 15 month low in July,  In Canada, GOCs slightly higher, 1bp tighter vs tsys in 10s & longs. The loonie hit a 11Y low in early N.A. trade 1.3082 as commodities plumb new lows in the wake of the weak Chinese data. Yest we saw buyers of longs on the uptrade and vs 10s, both fm momentum type trades.  No data in Cda only US new home sales which are expected to have risen 0.3% in June after a 2.2% increase in May. Interesting to note that while sales volumes are still ~60% below the peak of 2005, prices are basically back to pre-crisis levels.

News headlines

Overnight markets

  • Overview: IG24 5Y 69.5/70 (+1.25), US 10yr note futures are up +0.14% at 126-25, S&P 500 futures are up +0.02%  at 2099.0, Crude oil futures are up +0.95% at 48.91, Gold futures are down -1.08% at $1082.3, DXY is up +0.37% at 97.470.
  • US BANK CDS (5yr): BAC 68/72 (+0), GS 85/89 (+0), MS 77/81 (+0), C 76/80 (+0), JPM 68/72 (+0), WFC 51/55 (+0)

US Economic Data

  • Markit US Manufacturing PMI (Preliminary) is forecast at 53.6 for July, equal to previous month.
  • New home sales are forecast at 548K (0.3% MoM) in June versus May 546K (2.2% MoM).

Canadian Economic Data

  • There is no major economic data today.

Disclosure and Disclaimer

The following sources of information have been, or may have been, used partially or in their entirety to compile the herein provided CTI Capital Securities Inc. (“CTI Capital”) ‘Morning Comments.’ CTI Capital believes these sources to be generally reliable, however, as said sources are varied and from third parties, CTI Capital cannot guarantee the accuracy or completeness of said information: Canadian Press (CP); Bloomberg News (BN); Wall Street Journal (WSJ); Stone & McCarthy Research Associates (SMRA); New York Times (NYT); Financial Times (FT); Market News International (MNI); Globe and Mail; Associated Press (AP); CNW Group (CNW); Reuters; Business News Network (BNN); Market Watch; and others.

Ivan Greenstein, Stephan Buu, Pierre-Olivier Boulanger
Institutional Bond and Equity Desk
CTI Capital Valeurs Mobilières Inc.

Tel : (514)-861-0240
Fax: (514)-861-3230